
WEDNESDAY 11 PM, 2ND UPDATE: My sources are giving me these estimates for today’s movie openings and for the 5-day Thanksgiving holiday. Already it’s looking like some of the new family fare won’t speed out of the theatrical gate, leaving a clear path for Summit Entertainment’s holdover Twilight Saga Breaking Dawn Part 1 to win the weekend derby. Hollywood will have hissy fits if the North American box office slump keeps continuing. The good news is that audiences are giving reat CinemaScores to today’s opening pics: Disney’s rebooted The Muppets earned an ‘A’, and Sony Pictures’ Arthur Christmas an ‘A-’. But I’m going to wait until Friday night to draw any major conclusions. Meanwhile, The Weinstein Co is platforming its Oscar-buzzed My Week With Marilyn today in 123 theaters and adds another 121 locations on Friday. But it should do $150K today and around $2M for the 5-day holiday. The Weinstein Co’s other Academy Awards-touted film The Artist debuts in 4 locations tomorrow. Full analysis later:
1. Twilight Saga’s Breaking Dawn Part 1 (Summit) Week 2 [4,066 Theaters]
Wednesday $12.5M, Estimated 5-Day Holiday $58M
2. The Muppets (Disney) NEW [3,440 Theaters]
Wednesday $7.3M, Estimated 5-Day Holiday $50M
3. Happy Feet Two 3D (Warner Bros) Week 2 [3,606 Theaters]
Wednesday $3M, Estimated 5-Day Holiday $23M
4. Arthur Christmas 3D (Sony Pictures) NEW [3,376 Theaters]
Wednesday $2.8M, Estimated 5-Day Holiday $22M
5. Immortals 3D (Relativity) Week 3 [3,120 Theaters]
Wednesday $2.2M, Estimated 5-Day Holiday $15M
6. Jack & Jill (Sony) Week 3 [3,438 Theaters]
Wednesday $2.1M, Estimated 5-Day … Read More